Thriller Paradise
1168 Provocation(Chapter preview)
Indeed, Black butterfly's chances of winning were very slim.
In a game like neurasthenia, the advantage of memory was the most direct advantage, and in that regard ... Black Butterfly could not be compared to Feng bujue.
However, there was one more factor that could determine the outcome of the battle, and that was ... Luck.
In the previous round, even though Feng bujue had scored twenty-four points, just as he had said, based on his 'absolute memory', this kind of score was not too high in terms of probability.
Other than the 9 points, the remaining points could be considered as cases of "five out of six gradually decreasing probability of winning", and this "gradually decreasing probability" dropped from about 20% to 7%, and then stopped.
From the looks of it, what he did in this round ... Could be attributed to "pretty good luck."
There was nothing special about it, so it was not a 'gamble' but a 'game', a game that brother Jue thought was 'boring'.
In addition, when this round ended, his luck that seemed "not bad" had actually changed its direction ...
This was because the cards that Feng bujue flipped over in the last three hands were all cards that said,'one of the suits has already been revealed'. In other words, when he finally changed hands, the number of known two-phase cards on the table had increased from three to six.
In addition, the number of unknown cards on the table had decreased ... When the other party flipped the unknown cards again, the probability of them flipping a scoretable card had increased to more than 15%.
…………
Round 11, Black butterfly's turn.
After brother Jue cleared the table, there were not many known cards left, so Black Butterfly was more confident in the suits of those cards.
In her first hand, she followed her own rhythm and flipped a new card close to the known card.
As a result, this was a "two clear cards" card, which was a "scoreable card."
Black Butterfly did not have Feng bujue 's' I remember it, but I can save it for later 'attitude. She would definitely go for the points when there was a chance to score.
Therefore, she immediately turned back to look for the other two cards ... And succeeded.
"This lady has three points." The judge's announcement was immediately heard."You may continue to flip the cards."
The next move, the situation was still ...
Black Butterfly took out another scoreable card and quickly converted it into points.
The next move was still the same ...
In this way, Black Butterfly tied the score without any surprise, and ... Due to the reduction in the number of cards, there were only three pairs of known cards. The probability of her turning over a scoreable card in the next hand was more than 7%.
"Ha ... How is it?" Then, Black Butterfly smiled at brother Jue."It's not like I have no chance at all, right?"
"Hmph ... I've already mentally prepared myself for this kind of difference in luck before the duel began." Feng bujue replied calmly,"in any case ... Before you reach 'that point', you can flip as many pages as you want."
"That score?" Black Butterfly pondered for two seconds and said,"Oh, you mean ... 33 points?"
Black Butterfly had undoubtedly studied the rules of the game carefully before the start of the duel, so she knew that 33 points was a very important score.
According to the rules, after the two sides revealed a total of " 25 images," the player could end the game by finding two "Elysium" cards and enter the settlement stage.
Then, putting aside the huge gap between the wins and losses, for example, in a game where both sides had a certain amount of points ... The twenty-five signs could be divided into twelve against thirteen, or eleven against fourteen.
In the situation of 12 against 13, the score was 36 to 39. Now, with the additional 10 points, the score of 46 to 39 would be enough to turn the tide.
In the situation of 11 against 14, the score was 33 to 42. Now, with the additional 10 points, the score was 43 to 42, and he had turned the tables.
In other words, in this game, if the party who was at a disadvantage wanted to turn the tables, there was a prerequisite. That was, they had to at least obtain "eleven images" in order to meet the minimum condition to turn the tables.
In theory, the most ideal situation was: On the table, there were already twenty-four signs. It was the turn of the party who was at the back to flip their cards. At the moment they flipped their cards to the twenty-fifth sign, they just happened to have thirty-three points in their hands. Then ... They would flip out "Elysium" and end the round.
For those who were behind, this was the fastest and best way to turn the tables. If they continued to drag on ... The gap in points would gradually widen because when there were not many unknown cards left on the table, the probability of turning over the scoreable cards would greatly increase. It was not impossible to turn over two "one clear" cards in a row. At that time, the side with a better memory and fewer mistakes would definitely have a higher score rate than the opponent.
"Since you already know." Feng bujue's tone still sounded relaxed. After all, it was only natural for his opponent to know the meaning of this number, so there was no need to be surprised."Then, please work in that direction."
"Ha ... You don't have to tell me, I know how to do it." After Black Butterfly responded, he continued to flip the cards ...
…………
At the end of Round 11, the score of the two sides was 24 - 30, with Black Butterfly in the lead.
After that conversation, Black Butterfly took out two more scoreable cards and used up the known cards to only have one pair left.
Then, in the last three hands ... She turned out two "zero phase cards", which had no known suit, and ... The second "Elysium".
Therefore, when this round was over, there were only two pairs of couplets left on the table, and ... The positions of the two' Gokuraku Jodo 's' cards were also clear.
At present, the two had a total score of 54 points, which revealed the " 18 cards", and the number of cards left on the table was 48. Among them, there were 20 known cards, which consisted of 2 Inferno, 2 Elysium, 4 "double-faced" cards, and 12 "one-faced" cards.
There were a total of 28 unknown cards, which were two Inferno and 26 face cards.
In other words, at the start of the twelfth round, Feng bujue's chance of flipping the scoretable card was two out of twenty-eight, similar to his failure in the previous round, only about seven percent ...
Seeing this, there would definitely be people who would say,"can't he not play unknown card?" Wouldn't it be fine to flip three known cards and then throw the same situation to the other party?
The answer was that it was okay to take a break, but ... It would not solve the problem.
According to the "card flipping rule" of [triple neurasthenia], players had to flip at least one unknown card in three consecutive rounds, or they would be fined five points.
The purpose of this rule was to prevent players from continuously flipping cards that had already appeared to consume their own chances. As for why it was "three rounds in a row", it was naturally taken into account that some people might "flip three known cards and get no score" because they remembered the wrong cards. Under such circumstances, the person who failed two rounds of attacks in a row would have to bear the risk of a penalty point on the third round ...
Based on the example before her, if Feng bujue chose to flip three known cards in this round to exhaust his right to flip the cards, when it was black butterfly's turn, he could do the same. After all, Black Butterfly did not care. As the one with the weaker memory, she was happy to see both sides keep flipping the old cards to help her consolidate her memory.
Besides, she was the "late attacker". In a situation where no one was willing to reveal a new card, the late attacker had at least a "one card" advantage, because the first attacker would definitely reveal one more new card than the other party.
Of course, Feng bujue was not the kind of person who would purposely play the cards that he already knew to defend himself.
The real gamblers and villains all knew that they couldn't win by doing that.
For example, when brother Jue had tricked Jin Michou in the game of numbers ... If he had considered 'what if I only guessed three or four numbers correctly' or 'what if the other person really managed to hold on until the seventh round', then he would have retreated and avoided ... And in the end, he would have lost.
The Devils on the gambling table wouldn't respond to the weak's demands. On the contrary, they would devour those people ...
Retreating, avoiding, giving up on thinking, and turning to praying and begging in their hearts would only lead to failure and destruction.
The person who could win had to be sure that at that moment,"I can definitely guess more than five numbers". If I can't guess it, I might die, and death ... Was no harm.
Only such a will could guide 'luck' and call for 'victory'.
…………
"Ah ... Just as I expected ..."
In the twelfth round, the first hand that Feng bujue flipped over ... Was a clear one.
At this moment, he had two choices-the first was the more secure way to give up on flipping the cards and turn back to flip the two known cards to end his round. This way, he only added a pair of known pairs to the opponent and removed unknown card. When Black Butterfly attacked, the probability of turning over the scoreable card in the first hand was three out of twenty-seven, about 11%.
The other risky way was to flip an unknown card. If the second hand had the same suit as the first hand, he would be able to score.
Then ... What was the success rate of this? What was the risk of failure?
Through the known cards, it could be calculated that among the 27 unknown cards at the moment, 22 of them were pairs, which were "one clear" cards, three "two clear" cards, and two hell cards.
If Feng bujue wanted to score, he would have to use his first move, hirohira Suzanna, and the probability of that was only about 3%. If he couldn 't, he would face three possibilities ...
First, he had an 81% chance of turning over the "one clear" card, and then gave the other party a pair of known pairs, so that the probability of the other party turning over the scoring card next time would rise to more than 15%.
Second, he had a 7% chance of flipping to one of the other two "two clear" cards, giving the other party a chance to score 100% in the next round.
Third, with the same 7% chance, he would turn to the hell card, and this ... Was the best result. This way, the probability of the other party drawing a scoreable card would rise to 11.5%, which was not a lot.
In summary, no matter how one looked at it, it was better to choose the safer way.
But ...
"According to this trend, if I flip another card, there's an eighty percent chance it will be ..." Feng bujue mumbled as he flipped the second unknown card.
As a result, he turned over a "two clear" card.
Because he had already flipped his cards twice in this round, and the suits were different, it was impossible for him to score. As such, the card that he had pulled out could basically be considered the other party's score.
"Hmm...It seems that the luck is completely on your side." Feng bujue saw the worst result, but he did not seem to care."I believe you will get more than six points in the next round."
Then, without waiting for a response, he flipped over the third card.
What was unbelievable was ... He actually flipped unknown card. This time, it was "Yi Xiang Ming", so there was another pair of Ming couplets on the table.
"What is this guy trying to do ..." Black Butterfly could not understand. She thought to herself,"I can understand the second plan ... A man as arrogant and narcissistic as him might take a gamble at this moment. But this third move ... Under the premise that it's impossible to score points and it's almost certain to give me more advantages, he's still using the unknown card?"
"Please ..." The next second, Feng bujue's voice interrupted Black butterfly's thoughts."I know what you're thinking ... Haha ... There's no need to hesitate over things that you can't understand. You'd better get the points you deserve before your memory gets blurry. If you make a mistake here ... Then my victory would be too easy. "
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