Three Kingdoms: The ghost plotter taught Liu Bei to seize Jingzhou first

It was autumn.

Eighty thousand soldiers of Liu Army came to Xiapi City.

At this time, Yuan Tan fled back to Xiapi and lost most of his 70,000 troops, leaving only less than 30,000 men.

Yuan Tan did not dare to fight anymore, so he huddled in Xiapi City and sent a messenger on Pegasus to Guandu to ask Yuan Shao for help.

Now, he can only hope that Yuan Shao can add more troops to him and help him reverse Xuzhou's unfavorable situation.

Liu Bei ordered his army to set up camps from west to east in Xiapi City, calmly forming a semi-encirclement situation.

The camp has been set up.

The main camp is on the watchtower.

Liu Bei stood with his hands behind his back and looked at Xiapi City from a distance.

He was very familiar with this city.

As the former pastor of Xuzhou, it is no exaggeration to say that this city was the starting point of his dream.

At that time, he suddenly succeeded Xuzhou Mu from a plain county magistrate and became the new owner of Xiapi City.

At that time, he was so high-spirited and dreamed of using Xiapi as his base and Xuzhou as his root to achieve the great cause of supporting the Han Dynasty.

Who would have guessed.

Lu Bu's sneak attack shattered his dream ruthlessly in an instant.

In desperation, he could only leave Xiapi and the place where his dream began.

This separation lasted for several years.

Lu Bu, Cao Cao, Yuan Shao... this city also changed its owners several times, and countless flags were changed on the city head.

"Xiapi City, I, Liu Bei, am finally back"

"This time, I will take you back and I will not let you change masters easily again!"

Looking at this familiar city in front of him, Liu Bei felt as if he were facing 10 old friends who had gone through hardships and reunited after a long separation.

"Although Yuan Tan suffered a disastrous defeat and lost half of his troops, he still had 30,000 defeated troops gathered together."

"Now that he has learned his lesson, he will not dare to go out of the city to confront the Lord again, and will only retreat and defend."

"According to detailed reports, after Yuan Tan returned to Xiapi, he immediately sent a team of troops out of the city to the west."

"According to Tong's speculation, he probably sent a messenger to Guandu to ask for help from Yuan Shao."

"Yuan Shao's 150,000-strong army completely overwhelms Cao Cao, so it's a no-brainer to allocate another 20,000 to 30,000 troops to reinforce Yuan Tan."

"Once this happens, Yuan Tan's military strength will be restored to about 70,000, and his momentum will surely revive."

"When our army wants to break through Xiapi again, it will be a bit difficult."

"Therefore, we all thought that we had to capture Xiapi City before Yuan Shao sent reinforcements."

Pang Tong behind him analyzed the situation.

The high-spiritedness on Liu Bei's face gradually faded a bit, and he returned to his calm state.

"Shi Yuan reminded that after all, Yuan Shao’s family had a big business."

"Although we severely damaged Yuan Tan in this battle, it did not shake Yuan Shao’s foundation."

"If Yuan Tan is allowed to wait for reinforcements and his 70,000 soldiers and horses shrink without fighting, Picheng will be really difficult to fight!"

Liu Bei agreed with Pang Tong's analysis and turned to Deng Mu:

"Military advisor, do you have a good strategy that will enable me to defeat Xiapi quickly?"

Deng Mu looked in the direction of Xiapi, but said with a meaningful smile:

"Lord, in my opinion, it’s best if we can defeat Xiapi quickly."

"Even if we can't break it quickly, it doesn't matter, we have plenty of time."

Liu Bei was startled.

Pang Tong also looked confused.

If he doesn't break quickly, Yuan Tan will be able to wait for Yuan Shao's reinforcements. When his army regains its momentum, how will this battle be fought?

"Because Yuan Shao might not have a chance to send more reinforcements to Yuan Tan."

Deng Mu turned his eyes in the direction of Guandu, and there seemed to be a hidden meaning in his words.

Liu Bei became more and more confused and said in confusion:

"Ziyu, Yuan Shao has an army of 150,000 in Guandu, and there are still many suppressing troops in Hebei."

"Even if he can't send more troops to Yuan Tan, it should be no problem if he adds ten or twenty thousand reinforcements."

The generals on the left and right nodded one after another, also confused.

Deng Mu was about to speak.

But Pang Tong's eyes moved and he asked first:

"Military Advisor, do you think that Cao Cao will win the Battle of Guandu?"

"Yuan Shao was defeated and had been busy since ancient times. Naturally, he was unable to save Yuan Tan?"

Deng Mu looked at Pang Tong with approval.

Feng Chu was worthy of being Feng Chu. She could figure out the hidden meaning of his words just from her ambiguous words.

"Shi Yuan is right. If my estimate is correct, Cao Cao should have a high probability of winning the Battle of Guandu."

Deng Mu nodded slightly and agreed with Pang Tong's calculation.

As soon as he said this, there was an uproar upstairs.

This time, even Liu Bei looked surprised and had some doubts about Deng Mu's firm judgment.

"According to detailed reports, Cao Cao has run out of food and grass, and the remaining food in the army is less than half a month."

"However, Yuan Shao had plenty of food and grass. Nearly one million bushels of food and grass from Hebei Province were continuously transported to the Guandu front line."

"According to this situation, if the two armies confront each other for another ten days and a half, Cao Cao will run out of food and grass, and the morale of the army will definitely be in chaos."

"By then, his army will collapse without a fight!"

"In this situation, how could Cao Cao defeat Yuan Shao?"

Pang Tong clearly laid out the situation in Guandu in front of him, and for the first time he questioned Deng Mu's judgment.

Liu Bei and the generals looked at Deng Mu.

Obviously, Pang Tong's doubts were also what they had in mind.

"Cao Cao is best at making comebacks against the odds. The Battle of Yanzhou is the best example of this."

"He knew that he was about to run out of food and supplies, so naturally he would not sit still and wait for death, but would definitely give it a go."

"Shiyuan, how do you know he won't win by surprise and make a desperate comeback?"

Deng Mu asked with a playful smile on his face.

Pang Tong was shocked and speechless for a moment.

After thinking about it for a while, Pang Tong said again:

"Yuan Shao's current strategy is to fight steadily, making it clear that he wants to compete with Cao Cao for national power."

"Under this situation, Tong really couldn't think of any other tricks that Cao Cao could use to turn things around."

Deng Mu smiled and asked Chen Dao to bring the map of Guandu and hang it on the watchtower. (To read Baoshuang novels, go to Feilu Novel Network!)

Everyone's eyes followed what Deng Mu pointed and fell on the map.

"Yuan Shao played steadily and competed with Cao Cao for national strength. This was indeed a good strategy to maximize his strengths and avoid his weaknesses."

"This is the so-called stronghold and a dull war. This shows that Yuan Shao is still very self-aware."

"But Yuan Shao's tactics are not impeccable..."

Deng Mu first praised Yuan Shao, then changed the topic and pointed his finger to the north of Guandu.

"Yuan Shao collected millions of grains and grass from Hebei and gathered them here."

"I predict that at the last moment, Cao Cao will give it a go and lead a surprise attack on Yuan Shao's grain camp, burning all his millions of grain and grass in one fire."

"No matter how rich Yuan Shao's family is, burning millions of grains and grass will definitely break his muscles and bones."

"Even if he immediately requisitions grain and grass from Hebei, he will not be able to make up for such a heavy loss in a short time."

"His 150,000-strong army must be cut off from food before Cao Cao does."

"Once the food and grass are cut off, not to mention an army of 150,000, even if it is an army of one million, the morale of the army will be shattered and it will collapse without a fight!"

"Isn't Cao Cao going to make a comeback?"

Deng Mu took his time and gave Cao Cao the only way to break the situation.

Everyone's eyes were focused on an inconspicuous place called"Wuchao" on the map.

Looking upstairs, there was an immediate uproar.[]

"Burning the grain camp is indeed a brilliant strategy to turn things around."

"However, judging from the current intelligence, it is still unknown where Yuan Shao's grain camp is. How did the military advisor conclude that all Yuan Shao's grain and grass were gathered in Wuchao?"

Liu Bei looked at Deng Mu with surprised and confused eyes.

Pang Tong and the generals were also full of speculation and confusion.

Deng Mu coughed lightly and said:

"How do I know that Yuan Shaoliang camp is not important in Wuchao?"

"Even if there is no black nest, there will still be black nest and red nest"

"The important thing is that we must know that when Cao Cao reaches the moment of life and death, he will definitely raid Yuan Shao's grain camp to turn things around."

Lao Liu and the generals were at a loss, but Deng Mu's words brought them back to the food burning itself.

"The strategist's miraculous calculations are like opening the eyes of the sky"

"Then he can calculate that Yuan Shao's food and grass are in Wuchao, so it's not surprising!"

Everyone looked at each other and gave this explanation in their hearts.

Pang Tong then no longer questioned whether Wuchao was a grain camp, but said:

"The military advisor said that Wuchao was where Yuan Shao stored grain, so it must be where Yuan Shao stored grain."

"Wuchao is more than sixty miles behind Guandu and is an important place for grain harvesting. How could Yuan Shao be unprepared?"

"943 This Wuchao must be heavily guarded, and there must be multiple checkpoints and sentries along the way."

"Even if Cao Cao wanted to give it a try and attempt a sneak attack on the grain camp, how would his surprise troops bypass Yuan Jun's checkpoints and go sixty miles behind enemy lines to successfully attack Wuchao?"

"The military advisors all felt that if Cao Cao really attacked Wuchao secretly, he would have a narrow escape from death, and his chances of winning would be slim."

A hint of approval flashed across Deng Mu's eyes.

When it comes to the surprise attack on Wuchao, most ordinary people only stay on the first level and focus on the surprise attack itself. But

Pang Tong was able to pay attention to Yuan Jun's sentry checkpoints and the probability of Cao Cao's sneak attack being discovered. The insights have reached the second level.

Fengxia is indeed a Fengxiao…

"What Shi Yuan said makes sense"

"If Cao Cao's sneak attack army moves, it won't take a moment before Yuan Shao will notice it."

"If Yuan Shao immediately sent out his army to intercept the sneak attack of Cao Cao's army, wouldn't Cao Cao lose the rice instead of stealing the chicken?"

"Military advisor, the chance of success in this sneak attack on Wuchao is really slim."

Liu Bei also agreed with Pang Tong's conclusion.

"Although Cao Cao liked taking risks and winning by surprise, he was not stupid and never fought an uncertain battle."

"Since he dared to destroy the boat and attack Wuchao by surprise, he must have known the deployment of Yuan Jun's checkpoints in advance."

"Otherwise, he would not have gone to Wuchao to die in vain!"

Deng Mu said unhurriedly.

Everyone's eyes became more and more confused.

"The sentry defense leading to the grain camp must be a secret among secrets."

"With such a secret, how could Cao Cao be able to figure it out just by careful work?"

This time, Pang Tong didn't need to speak. Old Liu himself saw the flaw in Deng Mu's words.

The corners of Deng Mu's mouth raised slightly, and his smile didn't mean anything.

"Such a secret, of course, it is impossible for Cao Cao to find out with careful work."

"He doesn't need to send a spy to spy on this opportunity."

"Because Xu You will tell him."

As soon as these words came out.

Whether it was Lao Liu or Pang Tong, everyone present was immediately confused.